VERIFIABLE MODEL EVIDENCE

Ressq prediction performance

This database evaluates the immutable final Ressq probability snapshot created before kickoff. It publishes sample size alongside outcome accuracy and Brier score so a small or poorly calibrated sample cannot masquerade as a strong claim.

SAMPLE SIZE1,254

HIGHEST-PROBABILITY OUTCOME ACCURACY52.2%

BRIER SCORE · LOWER IS BETTER0.1985

Calibration by confidence band

Calibration compares the average highest probability with how often that highest-probability outcome actually occurred. Small samples remain visible.

Band	Sample	Mean probability	Observed accuracy	Gap	Brier
under-50	764	42.9%	46.2%	3.3%	0.2129
50-59	285	54.3%	53.7%	-0.6%	0.1998
60-69	102	66.0%	66.7%	0.6%	0.1658
70-79	46	72.2%	76.1%	3.9%	0.1311
80-plus	57	84.7%	80.7%	-4.0%	0.1127

Market breakdown

Market	Sample	Accuracy	Brier
1X2	1254	52.2%	0.1985

Prediction records

10102026-746-51-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:13:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-49-35-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-66-55-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-257-250-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10102026-254-251-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-7761-1834-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:40:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-57-36-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:13:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-7690-1822-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1841-1823-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10102026-8146-1341-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1839-1340-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-8663-1377-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1389-253-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:49 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-7752-1819-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:11 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1386-249-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1836-1842-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:58 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1358-1359-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:29:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-4686-747-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:46 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1368-61-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1348-53-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:27:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1374-1832-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-46-1350-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-37-74-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1354-748-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1370-1356-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:15 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1343-1373-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1828-1337-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 80-plus · Brier —

10102026-1381-1339-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1352-1364-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-16936-16929-666

1X2 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:43:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-73-1347-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1351-1365-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1367-1361-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:21:43 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1336-1342-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:21:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1362-1345-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:20:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1372-1844-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:20:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1334-1369-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:20:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-38-44-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:19:03 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-62-1379-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:18:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-59-58-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:17:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-70-39-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:17:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-69-1837-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:17:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-68-75-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:16:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-67-43-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:15:55 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-741-554-144

1X2 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:14:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-2945-10513-307

1X2 · season 2026 · league 307 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:41:48 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-182-1660-78

1X2 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:31:48 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-185-172-78

1X2 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:32:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-164-168-78

1X2 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:31:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-170-157-78

1X2 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:30:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10102026-167-175-78

1X2 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:30:30 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-495-502-135

1X2 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 13:08:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-3603-998-203

1X2 · season 2026 · league 203 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 13:21:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-996-1009-203

1X2 · season 2026 · league 203 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 13:20:28 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-567-640-345

1X2 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 13:13:36 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-3723-4257-345

1X2 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 13:13:10 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10102026-3733-1122-345

1X2 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 13:12:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-350-345-106

1X2 · season 2026 · league 106 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 13:11:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-99-104-62

1X2 · season 2026 · league 62 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:07:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-19475-9340-84

1X2 · season 2026 · league 84 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:21:48 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-13947-9341-84

1X2 · season 2026 · league 84 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:21:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-728-531-140

1X2 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:14:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-83-93-62

1X2 · season 2026 · league 62 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:08:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-4700-1818-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:20:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1371-4695-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:21:05 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1324-183-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:19:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-186-785-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:19:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-171-161-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:18:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-179-166-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:18:15 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-159-178-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:17:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-180-745-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:17:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-181-1320-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:17:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-744-191-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:16:37 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-176-188-79

1X2 · season 2026 · league 79 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:16:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1357-1333-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:14:15 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1376-1338-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:13:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1353-1363-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:13:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1349-1360-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:13:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-60-54-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:12:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-76-71-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:11:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1335-56-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:11:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-42-63-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 12:10:32 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10102026-997-3579-203

1X2 · season 2026 · league 203 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 11:12:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-16941-16927-666

1X2 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 2:16:48 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-1717-1779-666

1X2 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 23:15:08 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10092026-18261-17892-666

1X2 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 20:15:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10092026-1729-1785-666

1X2 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 20:14:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10092026-217-228-94

1X2 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 20:11:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-535-540-140

1X2 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:11:48 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-652-3850-357

1X2 · season 2026 · league 357 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:05:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10092026-48-72-40

1X2 · season 2026 · league 40 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:11:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10092026-1835-1830-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:13:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10092026-3854-3842-357

1X2 · season 2026 · league 357 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:04:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10092026-670-3843-357

1X2 · season 2026 · league 357 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:04:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-116-80-61

1X2 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:09:44 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-738-259-144

1X2 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:10:46 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-3845-3851-357

1X2 · season 2026 · league 357 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:05:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-3491-3484-106

1X2 · season 2026 · league 106 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:10:08 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-1719-1722-666

1X2 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:14:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10092026-165-162-78

1X2 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 06/10/2026, 19:12:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 80-plus · Brier —

Inclusion and exclusion rules

Only the final snapshot created before kickoff is evaluated. Completed FT/AET/PEN fixtures are scored. Postponed, cancelled, abandoned, awarded and walkover fixtures are excluded and counted separately (0 in this view). Missing results remain pending. Older model versions remain attached to their original records.

Read the full methodology →