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Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ahli JeddahCurrent probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 5 Nov 2025, 21:20
The Jeddah derby promises a tense affair as an in-form Al-Ahli visits an inconsistent Al-Ittihad. Al-Ahli comes into this match unbeaten in their last seven league games, currently sitting 5th in the standings. Their strength lies in a solid defense, having conceded the fewest goals away from home in the league. In contrast, Al-Ittihad, currently 8th, has had a mixed run of results and has shown vulnerability at the back, especially in home fixtures where they have failed to win their last two league matches. Head-to-head encounters have been tightly contested, with the last five matches seeing two wins for each side and one draw. The most recent clash in April 2025 ended in a 2-2 draw. Al-Ittihad's attack has been potent, scoring 15 goals so far, but their defense has been leaky, conceding 13. Al-Ahli's more conservative approach has seen them score 9 and concede only 5. The tactical battle will likely see Al-Ahli's organized defense attempt to thwart Al-Ittihad's attacking firepower.
Al-Ittihad FC: Al-Ittihad will be without key goalkeeper Predrag Rajković due to a long-term injury, a significant blow to their defensive stability. There are conflicting reports regarding the fitness of star striker Karim Benzema, with some sources listing him as injured while others highlight his recent goal-scoring form. Other potential absentees include Abdulrahman Al-Obood, Hasan Kadesh, and Muath Faqeehi due to injuries. Key players to watch will be Steven Bergwijn and Moussa Diaby, who will need to be at their creative best to break down a resolute Al-Ahli defense. The key player matchup will be Al-Ittihad's forwards against Al-Ahli's strong central defensive pairing.
Al-Ahli Jeddah: Al-Ahli will be missing midfielder Abdullah Otayf, who is out with a long-term cruciate ligament tear. Winger Wenderson Galeno is also expected to be unavailable due to injury. Ziyad Al-Johani and Matteo Dams are also sidelined. Despite these absences, Al-Ahli has maintained a consistent lineup and their defensive strength has been a collective effort. Riyad Mahrez and Ivan Toney are the main attacking threats, with Toney being a significant goalscorer in the league. The performance of their midfield in controlling the tempo of the game against Al-Ittihad's dynamic attackers will be crucial.
The major potential surprise would be an emphatic home win for Al-Ittihad given their recent struggles at their home ground and Al-Ahli's strong defensive record on the road. If Karim Benzema is fully fit and finds his form, he could single-handedly change the expected narrative of a tight, low-scoring affair.
Expect a classic derby atmosphere with both teams highly motivated. Al-Ahli is likely to adopt a cautious but confident approach, looking to exploit Al-Ittihad's defensive weaknesses on the counter-attack. Al-Ittihad, on the other hand, will likely try to dominate possession and use their attacking talent to break down the visitors. The match could well be decided by a moment of individual brilliance or a defensive error. A narrow victory for the away side or a score draw seems the most probable outcome.
Last updated: 05/11/2025 21:20
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